It’s time for Presidential Debate #2 tonight, and the predictions are in. Who will win? Will President Obama make the “comeback” everyone seems to think he will? Will the “Romney surge” be stopped? Is debate moderator Candy Crowley planning to stir up trouble and influence the outcome?
Anything could happen, of course, but I have a simple prediction: the two candidates will go at it again, President Obama won’t look down as much, and they will come out about even by the end of the night. This will do two things. First, it will strengthen Obama’s support base and solidify his image. That will translate into a stronger final debate performance. Second, it will continue to help Romney’s numbers, assuming tonight isn’t widely considered an Obama landslide. At this point, I think just staying in the game makes Governor Romney look better because he has been portrayed as such a bad guy by the left.
Now let’s talk about what, of course, is the most important factor, the undecided vote. Until a week or so after the Republican National Convention this year, I considered myself undecided, but went ahead and made my pick then because there wasn’t a whole lot else for me to do, barring Gary Johnson getting on my state’s ballot. But what will tonight’s debate mean for currently undecided voters? I think we are close enough to the election now that a lot of people who have yet to tune in (but will be voting) will start paying attention. They might know something happened recently in Libya with our Ambassador, and they might know that Romney said something about 47% of Americans, but they probably haven’t kept tabs on the ins and outs of the political world like many of us have.
I don’t know how much influence the two remaining debates will have on their vote, but any way you look at it, both Romney and Obama have a lot on the line and cannot afford to slip up tonight. Also, barring any major national catastrophe in the next few weeks, I think the election is still completely up for grabs, no matter what any polls say until November 6.
What about you? Any off-the-wall predictions for tonight? How do you think the undecided voter demographic will be affected? Who will walk away with the victory?SHARE