You may have heard the news recently: Ron Paul’s last stand in Nebraska. Ron Paul has one more chance to get a speaking spot. And so on. But I have a different opinion, and I can justify this.
This is not an article on the merit of a Ron Paul presidential nomination, though I am personally in favor. Instead, this is an attempt to explain my opinion of that possibility and what I think it could mean for the Republican Party.
Tomorrow is Nebraska’s state Republican convention, and the state’s 35 delegates to the Republican National Convention.
First of all, let me give some clarification as to why I do not think this is Ron Paul’s last stand to begin with. Several media outlets have reported that it is (ABC, Rachel Maddow, MSNBC, etc.), but they are reporting based on different information than what I have. Probably the most accurate stories I have seen in the mainstream media are coming from Rachel Maddow, but even her reports seem to fall short in one area, and it’s not really her fault. She can only go off the information she has, and since the overwhelming bulk of Republican state conventions have been ignored by the press, there isn’t much information available. That is, unless you don’t get your information from the mainstream media.
I have personally covered events that took place at Oklahoma’s 2012 GOP convention because I was there the whole day, whereas a couple of local news channels showed up after the scheduled convention was over, and the convention was taken outside. This “parking lot convention” is still being contested, and will potentially be validated or invalidated at the RNC in Florida. The Associated Press picked up the story, and wrote a couple of paragraphs, stating that the convention turned “raucous.” It seems like for the next 3 weeks, every altercation in the news was a “raucous” event of some sort, but the details of the day were scarcely revealed. You’d think at least some liberal talking heads would want to expose the shenanigans of the Republican Party, but for some reason they ignored it.
The main reason I do not believe this is Ron Paul’s last stand is that I believe he already has the majority of delegates from more than 5 states. I’m not referring to delegates being bound to him. Those numbers are disputable, and may or may not add up to 5 states at this point, but the numbers I’m talking about are the human beings filling those delegate slots. In Oklahoma, for example, my congressional district is bound to Mitt Romney, and all 3 delegates must vote for him on the first ballot at the RNC, but all three of them are also Ron Paul supporters. They are not bound to like Romney, nor campaign for him, nor anything else. They are only bound to VOTE for him on one ballot at the convention. That does not prevent them from nominating someone else, though that is not likely to happen if the at-large delegates from the parking lot are not validated.
There are a few scenarios that could unfold. Allow me to present some of the most likely general possibilities.
- There are not enough states with actual Ron Paul majorities to nominate him. RNC rules require that any nomination have the support of the majority delegation from at least 5 states. If this takes place, Dr. Paul is not likely to even receive a speaking slot.
- At least 5 states have a Ron Paul majority, and he is nominated from the floor of the convention. A general majority is not present, and Mitt Romney still receives the nomination. This will be an embarrassment to the Romney campaign, but only a temporary one.
- At least 5 states have a Ron Paul majority, he is nominated from the floor, wins, and the whole game changes.
There are lots of other possibilities, but these are the ones I want to highlight.
A Significant Move
I know there are a lot of varied opinions about Paul “settling” for a speaking spot. There are many valid points in each view of this, but here’s why I think this would be revolutionary.
Ron Paul has a tendency to instantly change someone’s view if they simply hear him speak freely and uninterrupted. That is how a lot of his supporters came to where they now hear Ron Paul and say to themselves, “This is my leader!” Many of the delegates to the RNC are already uneasy about Mitt Romney; after all, many of them are pledged to Rick Santorum or Newt Gingrich. If the Doctor could speak to the whole convention, and those the fence about Romney hear him out, they could instantly be converted. 15 minutes is enough time to get to just about everyone in the room. The Ron Paul minority delegation may quickly become the majority in a matter of minutes. At that point they could control the convention. Even if that doesn’t change the vote outcome, it would still be significant, and could help advance liberty causes, such as auditing or eliminating the Federal Reserve Bank, eliminating the use of unmanned “drone” aircraft on US soil, and ending legislation like NDAA that allow for unconstitutional detainment of US citizens.
I believe it is vital that Dr. Paul get anything he can – even if it’s just a speech. That could change everything. That could change the world.